🎯 ORB Edge

ORB (opening-range breakout): the first few minutes of the day set a high–low range; price pushing past it is a "breakout."
Continuation: the breakout kept going in its own direction — an ▲up break continued higher, a ▼down break continued lower (traveled one full range-height further before turning back). So a 72% on a ▼down setup means it continued down 72% of the time.
Continuation rate: of all past breakouts like this, the % that continued. Higher = follows through more often. The colour on a continued % is a quick read: green ≥60% (strong) · grey 46–59% (middling) · red ≤45% (weak).
n: how many real past breakouts the % is based on. Bigger = more trustworthy; we dim anything under 20.
“likely X–Y%”: the realistic range the true rate sits in (95% confidence). A 69% on just n=32 really means “likely 51–82%” — so we rank setups by the low end of that range, not the headline %, and a lucky small sample can’t out-rank a proven one.
+/− vs base: how much better (or worse) a setup did than the stock’s overall breakout rate — the actual edge over trading every breakout blindly.
Up vs down don’t add to 100%: each is its own separate group answering “given an ▲up (or ▼down) break, did it continue?” — two different questions on different breakouts, not two halves of one pie.
avg ext: how far breakouts traveled on average, in range-heights (1.5× = one and a half ranges).
How far it ran (the ladder): the same breakouts measured at bigger targets — what % reached 0.5×, 1×, 1.5×, 2× the opening-range height (with the raw count). Reading right-to-left shows how often a winner kept extending vs. stalled just past the line.
Confluence: how MANY of these supporting signals lined up — cleared the prior-day high/low · cleared the pre-market high/low · held a Fib · 9/21 EMA agrees with the break · leading its index · amplifying (neg) gamma. "By confluence" shows the count; "Highest-probability setups" shows WHICH specific combos continued most.
Gamma regime: dealers either calm the market (positive γ → breakouts fade) or add fuel (negative γ → breakouts run).
Backtest curve: after you check a ticker, the 📈 Backtest section shows how a $10k account would have grown trading a strategy you pick — see “How to read this curve” there for what End balance, Win rate, R, drawdown and the reliability check mean.
Historical odds, not predictions. Educational only — not investment advice.